Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slammed as oil prices surge to over $110 a barrel

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US stock futures tumbled on Monday as oil prices surged past the $100-a-barrel mark and investors braced for the next development in a still-escalating Middle East war.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) were down 1.7% after plunging 1,000 points overnight. Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) and the Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) sank roughly 1.6% and 1.7%, respectively. All three indexes were recovering slightly from deeper losses above 2% in earlier hours.

Energy markets were a major driver of the moves. Crude prices spiked late Sunday as the conflict in Iran spurred countries to cut output, while the Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor remained shuttered. Kuwait confirmed production cuts but did not specify the scale, while output in Iraq is reported to have plunged about 70%.

West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) crude surged over 25% to more than $116 a barrel amid supply fears, but the US benchmark pared gains to around $103, or up 14%, at last check. Global benchmark Brent (BZ=F) crude futures rose 16% to trade above $107, having earlier climbed 25% to top $117.

The sell-off in stocks followed a bruising stretch last week, which saw the Dow (^DJI) lose roughly 3%, marking its steepest weekly drop since tariff concerns from the Trump administration rattled markets in April 2025. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slid about 2%, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) finished down over 1%.

Looking to domestic economic reports, investors will be watching closely for Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index and Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures index readings, though both won’t capture the effect of oil’s dramatic recent surge on price pressures just yet.

On the corporate front, earnings season continues with results from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) expected after Monday’s closing bell. Reports from Oracle (ORCL), Adobe (ADBE), and Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) are scheduled in the week ahead.

LIVE 5 updates

  • How some on Wall Street are thinking

    Veteran strategist Chris Rupkey with a solid new hot take below.

    I would say his view is still far from the consensus (we go into a recession because of the Iran situation), but one should be on the look for commentary like this the next few days:

    “All the ingredients are here for recession and the fears are growing that the Trump 2.0 economic officials have more variables going against them than they can possibly control to keep the economic ship afloat. Oil prices are soaring and at this point it will be a miracle if the economy misses a recession. Pow. The US economy does not need another kick in the head from an oil price spike. Get out, move to safer waters, sell everything and stay liquid while you can. The worst may be yet to come.”

  • Goldman weighs in on oil surge

    Goldman Sachs’ new call on oil already looks outdated given the outsized move in prices we have seen since last night.

    “Based on these new data, developments and the size of the shock, we now think that oil prices would likely exceed $100 next [this week] week if no signs of solutions emerge by then. We now also think it’s likely that oil prices, especially for refined products, would exceed the 2008 and 2022 peaks, if Strait of Hormuz flows were to remain depressed throughout March.”

  • Asian gauges hammered as soaring oil price shakes global markets

    Major gauges across Asia fell upwards of 5% as the US-Israeli war with Iran was seen to cause global instability. The drops have been driven by surging oil prices, a potential indicator of an incoming recession, accro

    AP Finance reports:

    Read more here.

  • Gold falls against backdrop of instability from oil spike

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Oil pushes past $100 a barrel in fastest rally since 1980s

    Yahoo Finance’s Jake Conley reports:

    Read more here.